A look at Santa Clara vs Benfica (Liga Portugal 1, 27 October): the odds and what they imply, the form of both teams, their meetings so far and our prediction.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: match details
- Competition: Liga Portugal 1
- Date: Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Kick-off: 01:45 GMT+7 (18:45 UTC)
- Venue: San jomiguel Stadium
Key points
- Prices: Benfica clear favourites at 68%, the draw at 20%.
- Goals: about 2.7 expected (line 2.5); most likely score 0-2.
- Form (last 6): Santa Clara DWDWWD, Benfica WWWLWW.
- Head to head (10): Santa Clara 0, draws 1, Benfica 9.
Odds and what they imply
On the 1X2 market Santa Clara are 8.50, the draw is 4.33 and Benfica are 1.38. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 12% chance for Santa Clara, 20% for the draw and 68% for Benfica.
On the Asian handicap, Santa Clara are +1.25 at 1.98 and Benfica are -1.25 at 1.88. The line gives Santa Clara a head start of 1.25 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Benfica are.
The goals line is 2.5: Over 2.5 is 1.85 and Under 2.5 is 1.95. Together with the other prices that points to about 2.7 goals (Santa Clara 0.70, Benfica 2.00), which makes Over 2.5 roughly a 51% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Clara | 8.50 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.33 |
| 1X2 | Benfica | 1.38 |
| Asian handicap | Santa Clara +1.25 | 1.98 |
| Asian handicap | Benfica -1.25 | 1.88 |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1.85 |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1.95 |
Recent form
Santa Clara
Santa Clara have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 6 matches (D W D W W D, newest first), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 goals per game. Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last 6.
- 2026-10-18: away v CD Mafra 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10: away v Casa Pia AC 0-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20: home v Sporting Braga 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13: away v FC Arouca 1-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06: home v Rio Ave 4-0 (W)
Benfica
Over their last 6 matches Benfica have taken 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, with 2.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game (W W W L W W, newest first). Benfica have won their last 3.
- 2026-10-22: away v Omonia Nicosia FC 1-4 (W)
- 2026-10-15: home v Celtic FC 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11: home v Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20: away v FC Porto 3-1 (L)
- 2026-09-16: away v AC Milan 0-2 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.0 goals per game, above the over/under line of 2.5.
Head to head
Santa Clara and Benfica have met 10 times in the matches we have on record: Santa Clara won 0, Benfica won 9 and 1 match ended level. On that record Benfica have the better of it. They averaged 3.1 goals per game, and 8 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-02-13, finished Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica.
- 2026-02-13: Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica (POR D1)
- 2025-09-12: Benfica 1-1 Santa Clara (POR D1)
- 2025-02-15: Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica (POR D1)
- 2024-10-30: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara (PORLC)
- 2024-09-14: Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara (POR D1)
League standings
- Santa Clara: 4th, 18 points from 8 matches (5W 3D 0L, goals 12-4). At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 4 (7-2).
- Benfica: 2nd, 19 points from 8 matches (6W 1D 1L, goals 24-7). Away they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from 4 (15-3).
Team news
- Santa Clara suspensions: José Tavares
- Benfica injuries: Jakub Kaminski, Jhon Duran, Enzo Barrenechea, Daniel Banjaqui, Leandro Barreiro Martins, Vangelis Pavlidis
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction
Reading the prices, this is Benfica are clear favourites on the prices, at 68% against 20% for the draw and 12% for Santa Clara. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 0-2 the single most likely scoreline (about 13%), with around 2.7 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Santa Clara vs Benfica kick off?
The match kicks off at 01:45 GMT+7 (18:45 UTC) on Tuesday 27 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Benfica are the clear favourites, with a 68% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 2.5 and the prices point to about 2.7 goals.
Where can I follow Santa Clara vs Benfica live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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