A look at Monaco vs Lille (France Ligue 1, 25 October): the odds and what they imply, the form of both teams, their meetings so far and our prediction.
Monaco vs Lille: match details
- Competition: France Ligue 1
- Date: Sunday 25 October 2026
- Kick-off: 21:00 GMT+7 (14:00 UTC)
- Venue: Louis 2 Stade
Key points
- Prices: Monaco favourites at 49%, the draw at 24%.
- Goals: about 2.8 expected (line 2.75); most likely score 1-1.
- Form (last 6): Monaco WLWDWW, Lille LDLWWL.
- Head to head (10): Monaco 2, draws 3, Lille 5.
Odds and what they imply
The bookmakers price a win for Monaco at 2.00, the draw at 3.40 and a win for Lille at 3.90. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 49% chance for Monaco, 24% for the draw and 27% for Lille.
On the Asian handicap, Monaco are -0.5 at 1.98 and Lille are +0.5 at 1.88. The line gives Lille a head start of 0.5 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Monaco are.
The goals line is 2.75: Over 2.75 is 2.03 and Under 2.75 is 1.83. Together with the other prices that points to about 2.8 goals (Monaco 1.65, Lille 1.15), which makes Over 2.75 roughly a 53% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monaco | 2.00 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.40 |
| 1X2 | Lille | 3.90 |
| Asian handicap | Monaco -0.5 | 1.98 |
| Asian handicap | Lille +0.5 | 1.88 |
| Over / Under 2.75 | Over 2.75 | 2.03 |
| Over / Under 2.75 | Under 2.75 | 1.83 |
Recent form
Monaco
Over their last 6 matches Monaco have taken 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game (W L W D W W, newest first).
- 2026-10-22: home v SC Freiburg 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18: away v Lorient 1-0 (L)
- 2026-10-15: away v CSKA Sofia 1-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10: home v Toulouse 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03: home v Pisa 2-0 (W)
Lille
Lille's last 6 results read L D L W W L from the newest back: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, and 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Lille have not won in their last 3.
- 2026-10-21: home v Galatasaray 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17: home v Stade Brestois 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-13: away v Arsenal 3-0 (L)
- 2026-10-10: home v Le Havre 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02: home v Zulte-Waregem 2-1 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 2.8 goals per game, above the over/under line of 2.75.
Head to head
Their record against each other covers 10 matches: Monaco won 2, Lille won 5 and 3 matches ended level. On that record Lille have the better of it. They averaged 2.2 goals per game, and 4 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-05-10, finished Monaco 0-1 Lille.
- 2026-05-10: Monaco 0-1 Lille (FRA D1)
- 2025-08-24: Lille 1-0 Monaco (FRA D1)
- 2025-02-22: Lille 2-1 Monaco (FRA D1)
- 2024-10-18: Monaco 0-0 Lille (FRA D1)
- 2024-04-24: Monaco 1-0 Lille (FRA D1)
League standings
- Monaco: 5th, 14 points from 7 matches (4W 2D 1L, goals 10-6). At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from 3 (6-3).
- Lille: 3rd, 14 points from 7 matches (4W 2D 1L, goals 10-5). Away they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from 3 (4-2).
Team news
- Monaco injuries: Eric Dier, Stanis Idumbo Muzambo
- Lille injuries: Ayase Ueda, Tiago Santos Carvalho, Hamza Igamane, Ethan Mbappe, Osame Sahraoui
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Monaco vs Lille prediction
The market sees Monaco are favourites on the prices, at 49% against 24% for the draw and 27% for Lille. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 12%), with around 2.8 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Monaco vs Lille kick off?
The match kicks off at 21:00 GMT+7 (14:00 UTC) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Monaco are the favourites, with a 49% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 2.75 and the prices point to about 2.8 goals.
Where can I follow Monaco vs Lille live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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