Chelsea play Manchester United in English Premier League on Saturday 31 October (19:30 GMT+7). Here are the odds, the recent form, the head-to-head record and what the bookmaker prices say about the result.
Chelsea vs Manchester United: match details
- Competition: English Premier League
- Date: Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kick-off: 19:30 GMT+7 (12:30 UTC)
- Venue: Stamford Bridge stadium
- Weather: Sunny, 14°C
Key points
- Prices: Chelsea favourites at 49%, the draw at 23%.
- Goals: about 3.0 expected (line 3); most likely score 1-1.
- Form (last 6): Chelsea DLWWLD, Manchester United LLDLDD.
- Head to head (10): Chelsea 2, draws 4, Manchester United 4.
Odds and what they imply
The bookmakers price a win for Chelsea at 1.95, the draw at 3.70 and a win for Manchester United at 3.70. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 49% chance for Chelsea, 23% for the draw and 28% for Manchester United.
On the Asian handicap, Chelsea are -0.5 at 1.98 and Manchester United are +0.5 at 1.88. The line gives Manchester United a head start of 0.5 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Chelsea are.
The goals line is 3: Over 3 is 2.00 and Under 3 is 1.85. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.0 goals (Chelsea 1.77, Manchester United 1.27), which makes Over 3 roughly a 36% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chelsea | 1.95 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.70 |
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 3.70 |
| Asian handicap | Chelsea -0.5 | 1.98 |
| Asian handicap | Manchester United +0.5 | 1.88 |
| Over / Under 3 | Over 3 | 2.00 |
| Over / Under 3 | Under 3 | 1.85 |
Recent form
Chelsea
Over their last 6 matches Chelsea have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game (D L W W L D, newest first).
- 2026-10-28: away v Liverpool 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-24: home v Tottenham Hotspur 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17: away v Everton 0-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10: home v AFC Bournemouth 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18: away v Brentford 3-0 (L)
Manchester United
Over their last 6 matches Manchester United have taken 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, with 0.7 scored and 2.0 conceded per game (L L D L D D, newest first). Manchester United have lost their last 2.
- 2026-10-25: home v AFC Bournemouth 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-21: away v Como 4-1 (L)
- 2026-10-18: away v Leeds United 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-13: away v Atletico Madrid 2-0 (L)
- 2026-10-10: home v Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 (D)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 2.9 goals per game, below the over/under line of 3.
Head to head
Chelsea and Manchester United have met 10 times in the matches we have on record: Chelsea won 2, Manchester United won 4 and 4 matches ended level. On that record Manchester United have the better of it. They averaged 2.8 goals per game, and 4 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-04-18, finished Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United.
- 2026-04-18: Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United (ENG PR)
- 2025-09-20: Manchester United 2-1 Chelsea (ENG PR)
- 2025-05-16: Chelsea 1-0 Manchester United (ENG PR)
- 2024-11-03: Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea (ENG PR)
- 2024-04-04: Chelsea 4-3 Manchester United (ENG PR)
League standings
- Chelsea: 5th, 13 points from 8 matches (4W 1D 3L, goals 17-15). At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 4 (11-8).
- Manchester United: 16th, 7 points from 8 matches (1W 4D 3L, goals 10-13). Away they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat from 4 (4-6).
Team news
- Chelsea injuries: Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero, Pep Chavarria, Reece James, João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus, Maxence Lacroix
- Manchester United injuries: Noussair Mazraoui, Manuel Ugarte, Patrick Dorgu, Benjamin Sesko, Luke Shaw, Kobbie Mainoo
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction
Reading the prices, this is Chelsea are favourites on the prices, at 49% against 23% for the draw and 28% for Manchester United. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 11%), with around 3.0 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Chelsea vs Manchester United kick off?
The match kicks off at 19:30 GMT+7 (12:30 UTC) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Chelsea are the favourites, with a 49% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3 and the prices point to about 3.0 goals.
Where can I follow Chelsea vs Manchester United live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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