AS Roma play Cagliari in Italy Serie A on Wednesday 28 October (02:45 GMT+7). Here are the odds, the recent form, the head-to-head record and what the bookmaker prices say about the result.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: match details
- Competition: Italy Serie A
- Date: Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Kick-off: 02:45 GMT+7 (19:45 UTC)
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico
Key points
- Prices: AS Roma clear favourites at 71%, the draw at 18%.
- Goals: about 3.0 expected (line 3); most likely score 2-0.
- Form (last 6): AS Roma DWWLDD, Cagliari LLDWWW.
- Head to head (10): AS Roma 7, draws 1, Cagliari 2.
Odds and what they imply
On the 1X2 market AS Roma are 1.33, the draw is 5.00 and Cagliari are 9.50. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 71% chance for AS Roma, 18% for the draw and 11% for Cagliari.
On the Asian handicap, AS Roma are -1.5 at 1.98 and Cagliari are +1.5 at 1.88. The line gives Cagliari a head start of 1.5 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks AS Roma are.
The goals line is 3: Over 3 is 2.03 and Under 3 is 1.83. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.0 goals (AS Roma 2.27, Cagliari 0.77), which makes Over 3 roughly a 36% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Roma | 1.33 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.00 |
| 1X2 | Cagliari | 9.50 |
| Asian handicap | AS Roma -1.5 | 1.98 |
| Asian handicap | Cagliari +1.5 | 1.88 |
| Over / Under 3 | Over 3 | 2.03 |
| Over / Under 3 | Under 3 | 1.83 |
Recent form
AS Roma
Over their last 6 matches AS Roma have taken 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, with 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game (D W W L D D, newest first). AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 3.
- 2026-10-24: away v Napoli 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-20: home v Slovan Bratislava 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17: home v Genoa 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14: home v Real Madrid 3-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11: away v Como 0-0 (D)
Cagliari
Cagliari have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches (L L D W W W, newest first), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 goals per game. Cagliari have lost their last 2.
- 2026-10-24: home v Bologna 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-19: away v Monza 4-0 (L)
- 2026-10-11: home v Juventus 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19: away v Udinese 0-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12: away v Atalanta 1-2 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.0 goals per game, level with the over/under line of 3.
Head to head
Their record against each other covers 10 matches: AS Roma won 7, Cagliari won 2 and 1 match ended level. On that record AS Roma have the better of it. They averaged 2.7 goals per game, and 5 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-02-09, finished AS Roma 2-0 Cagliari.
- 2026-02-09: AS Roma 2-0 Cagliari (ITA D1)
- 2025-12-07: Cagliari 1-0 AS Roma (ITA D1)
- 2025-03-16: AS Roma 1-0 Cagliari (ITA D1)
- 2024-08-18: Cagliari 0-0 AS Roma (ITA D1)
- 2024-02-05: AS Roma 4-0 Cagliari (ITA D1)
League standings
- AS Roma: 3rd, 18 points from 8 matches (5W 3D 0L, goals 19-6). At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from 4 (10-3).
- Cagliari: 9th, 13 points from 8 matches (4W 1D 3L, goals 6-9). Away they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from 4 (4-5).
Team news
- AS Roma injuries: Paulo Dybala, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Mile Svilar, Manu Kone
- Cagliari injuries: Riyad Idrissi, Mattia Felici
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction
Reading the prices, this is AS Roma are clear favourites on the prices, at 71% against 18% for the draw and 11% for Cagliari. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 2-0 the single most likely scoreline (about 12%), with around 3.0 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does AS Roma vs Cagliari kick off?
The match kicks off at 02:45 GMT+7 (19:45 UTC) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
AS Roma are the clear favourites, with a 71% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3 and the prices point to about 3.0 goals.
Where can I follow AS Roma vs Cagliari live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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