Sassuolo play Fiorentina in Italy Serie A on Tuesday 3 November (00:30 GMT+7). Here are the odds, the recent form, the head-to-head record and what the bookmaker prices say about the result.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: match details
- Competition: Italy Serie A
- Date: Tuesday 3 November 2026
- Kick-off: 00:30 GMT+7 (17:30 UTC)
- Venue: Mapei Stadium
Key points
- Prices: Fiorentina slight favourites at 42%, the draw at 23%.
- Goals: about 3.2 expected (line 3); most likely score 1-1.
- Form (last 6): Sassuolo LLLDLW, Fiorentina DLLLDW.
- Head to head (10): Sassuolo 4, draws 3, Fiorentina 3.
Odds and what they imply
The bookmakers price a win for Sassuolo at 2.88, the draw at 3.60 and a win for Fiorentina at 2.35. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 35% chance for Sassuolo, 23% for the draw and 42% for Fiorentina.
On the Asian handicap, Sassuolo are +0.25 at 1.83 and Fiorentina are -0.25 at 2.03. The line gives Sassuolo a head start of 0.25 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Fiorentina are.
The goals line is 3: Over 3 is 1.88 and Under 3 is 1.98. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.2 goals (Sassuolo 1.52, Fiorentina 1.67), which makes Over 3 roughly a 40% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 2.88 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.60 |
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 2.35 |
| Asian handicap | Sassuolo +0.25 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | Fiorentina -0.25 | 2.03 |
| Over / Under 3 | Over 3 | 1.88 |
| Over / Under 3 | Under 3 | 1.98 |
Recent form
Sassuolo
Sassuolo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 matches (L L L D L W, newest first), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.8 goals per game. Sassuolo have lost their last 3.
- 2026-10-27: home v Lazio 2-6 (L)
- 2026-10-24: away v Como 2-0 (L)
- 2026-10-16: away v Frosinone 4-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11: home v AC Milan 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18: away v Monza 2-1 (L)
Fiorentina
Over their last 6 matches Fiorentina have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded per game (D L L L D W, newest first). Fiorentina have not won in their last 5.
- 2026-10-29: home v Atalanta 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-25: away v Inter Milan 2-1 (L)
- 2026-10-18: home v Como 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10: away v Genoa 2-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20: home v Napoli 1-1 (D)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.8 goals per game, above the over/under line of 3.
Head to head
Their record against each other covers 10 matches: Sassuolo won 4, Fiorentina won 3 and 3 matches ended level. On that record Sassuolo have the better of it. They averaged 3.1 goals per game, and 7 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-04-26, finished Fiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo.
- 2026-04-26: Fiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo (ITA D1)
- 2025-12-06: Sassuolo 3-1 Fiorentina (ITA D1)
- 2024-04-28: Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo (ITA D1)
- 2024-01-06: Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina (ITA D1)
- 2023-06-02: Sassuolo 1-3 Fiorentina (ITA D1)
League standings
- Sassuolo: 15th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L, goals 14-22). At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 4 (8-10).
- Fiorentina: 19th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L, goals 11-21). Away they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 4 (6-10).
Team news
- Sassuolo injuries: Edoardo Pieragnolo, Ismael Kone, Fedde Leysen, Jay Idzes
- Sassuolo suspensions: Kristian Thorstvedt
- Fiorentina injuries: Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Arthur Atta, Fabiano Parisi
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
The market sees Fiorentina are slight favourites on the prices, at 42% against 23% for the draw and 35% for Sassuolo. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 10%), with around 3.2 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Sassuolo vs Fiorentina kick off?
The match kicks off at 00:30 GMT+7 (17:30 UTC) on Tuesday 3 November 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Fiorentina are the slight favourites, with a 42% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3 and the prices point to about 3.2 goals.
Where can I follow Sassuolo vs Fiorentina live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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