
AFC Champions League Elite: Pakhtakor v Al-Nassr, Monday 2 November at 20:45 GMT+7. We go through the prices, how both sides have been playing and how they have fared against each other.
Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr: match details
- Competition: AFC Champions League Elite
- Date: Monday 2 November 2026
- Kick-off: 20:45 GMT+7 (13:45 UTC)
- Venue: Berktago Stadium
- Weather: Sunny, 17°C
Key points
- Prices: Al-Nassr clear favourites at 61%, the draw at 20%.
- Goals: about 3.2 expected (line 3); most likely score 1-2.
- Form (last 6): Pakhtakor WLLDDW, Al-Nassr WWWWWL.
- Head to head (2): Pakhtakor 0, draws 1, Al-Nassr 1.
Odds and what they imply
On the 1X2 market Pakhtakor are 5.25, the draw is 3.80 and Al-Nassr are 1.50. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 18% chance for Pakhtakor, 20% for the draw and 61% for Al-Nassr.
On the Asian handicap, Pakhtakor are +1 at 1.90 and Al-Nassr are -1 at 1.90. The line has moved from Pakhtakor +1.25 when the market opened to +1 now, so the market has grown more confident in Pakhtakor. The line gives Pakhtakor a head start of 1 goal: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Al-Nassr are.
The goals line is 3: Over 3 is 1.85 and Under 3 is 1.95. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.2 goals (Pakhtakor 1.07, Al-Nassr 2.12), which makes Over 3 roughly a 40% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pakhtakor | 5.25 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.80 |
| 1X2 | Al-Nassr | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | Pakhtakor +1 | 1.90 |
| Asian handicap | Al-Nassr -1 | 1.90 |
| Over / Under 3 | Over 3 | 1.85 |
| Over / Under 3 | Under 3 | 1.95 |
Head to head
In 2 previous meetings on record, Pakhtakor won 0, Al-Nassr won 1 and 1 match ended level. On that record Al-Nassr have the better of it. They averaged 4.0 goals per game, and 2 of the 2 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2011-05-04, finished Al-Nassr 4-0 Pakhtakor.
- 2011-05-04: Al-Nassr 4-0 Pakhtakor (ACLE)
- 2011-03-01: Pakhtakor 2-2 Al-Nassr (ACLE)
Recent form
Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches (W L L D D W, newest first), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 goals per game.
- 2026-10-30: away v Xorazm Urganch 0-1 (W)
- 2026-10-26: away v Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 (L)
- 2026-10-23: home v Neftchi Fargona 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17: away v Navbahor Namangan 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-12: home v Al Qadsiah 1-1 (D)
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (W W W W W L, newest first), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 goals per game. Al-Nassr have won their last 5.
- 2026-10-29: home v Al Kholood 5-3 (W)
- 2026-10-23: away v Al-Faisaly Harmah 1-3 (W)
- 2026-10-20: home v Neom SC 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12: home v Neftchi Fargona 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-09: home v Al-Draih 3-0 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.2 goals per game, above the over/under line of 3.
League standings
- Pakhtakor: 2nd, 56 points from 26 matches (16W 8D 2L, goals 45-25). At home they have 7 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 13 (25-16).
- Al-Nassr: 3rd, 28 points from 11 matches (9W 1D 1L, goals 28-11). Away they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 (12-6).
Group table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10-2 | 9 |
| 2 | Shabab Al Ahli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5-1 | 9 |
| 3 | Al-Ahli SFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-3 | 7 |
| 4 | Esteghlal Tehran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-3 | 6 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-4 | 6 |
| 6 | Al Shamal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4-2 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Qadsiah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4-3 | 5 |
| 8 | Al-Ittihad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4-4 | 4 |
| 9 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 3 |
| 10 | Neftchi Fargona | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 3 |
| 12 | Pakhtakor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2 |
| 13 | Tractor S.C. | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1 |
| 14 | Al-Sadd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1 |
| 15 | Al-Garrafa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3-6 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Wasl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0 |
Team news
- Pakhtakor injuries: Sardor Sabirkhodjaev
- Al-Nassr injuries: Sultan Al Ghannam
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr prediction
Reading the prices, this is Al-Nassr are clear favourites on the prices, at 61% against 20% for the draw and 18% for Pakhtakor. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-2 the single most likely scoreline (about 10%), with around 3.2 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr kick off?
The match kicks off at 20:45 GMT+7 (13:45 UTC) on Monday 2 November 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Al-Nassr are the clear favourites, with a 61% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3 and the prices point to about 3.2 goals.
Where can I follow Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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