A look at Atalanta vs Parma (Italy Serie A, 3 November): the odds and what they imply, the form of both teams, their meetings so far and our prediction.
Atalanta vs Parma: match details
- Competition: Italy Serie A
- Date: Tuesday 3 November 2026
- Kick-off: 02:45 GMT+7 (19:45 UTC)
- Venue: Gewiss Stadium
Key points
- Prices: Atalanta clear favourites at 64%, the draw at 20%.
- Goals: about 3.1 expected (line 3); most likely score 2-0.
- Form (last 6): Atalanta DDLLWW, Parma DLLLWL.
- Head to head (10): Atalanta 7, draws 1, Parma 2.
Odds and what they imply
On the 1X2 market Atalanta are 1.50, the draw is 4.50 and Parma are 6.00. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 64% chance for Atalanta, 20% for the draw and 16% for Parma.
On the Asian handicap, Atalanta are -1 at 1.83 and Parma are +1 at 2.03. The line gives Parma a head start of 1 goal: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Atalanta are.
The goals line is 3: Over 3 is 2.00 and Under 3 is 1.85. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.1 goals (Atalanta 2.12, Parma 0.97), which makes Over 3 roughly a 38% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 1.50 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.50 |
| 1X2 | Parma | 6.00 |
| Asian handicap | Atalanta -1 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | Parma +1 | 2.03 |
| Over / Under 3 | Over 3 | 2.00 |
| Over / Under 3 | Under 3 | 1.85 |
Recent form
Atalanta
Atalanta's last 6 results read D D L L W W from the newest back: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and 2.3 scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Atalanta have not won in their last 4.
- 2026-10-29: away v Fiorentina 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-25: home v Frosinone 4-4 (D)
- 2026-10-22: away v AFC Ajax 2-0 (L)
- 2026-10-18: away v AC Milan 3-2 (L)
- 2026-10-15: home v Pafos FC 3-1 (W)
Parma
Over their last 6 matches Parma have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats, with 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded per game (D L L L W L, newest first). Parma have not won in their last 4.
- 2026-10-28: home v Udinese 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-24: away v Lazio 2-1 (L)
- 2026-10-19: home v Torino 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10: away v Inter Milan 3-0 (L)
- 2026-09-20: home v Genoa 2-1 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.5 goals per game, above the over/under line of 3.
Head to head
In 10 previous meetings on record, Atalanta won 7, Parma won 2 and 1 match ended level. On that record Atalanta have the better of it. They averaged 4.2 goals per game, and 9 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-01-25, finished Atalanta 4-0 Parma.
- 2026-01-25: Atalanta 4-0 Parma (ITA D1)
- 2025-08-30: Parma 1-1 Atalanta (ITA D1)
- 2025-05-25: Atalanta 2-3 Parma (ITA D1)
- 2024-11-23: Parma 1-3 Atalanta (ITA D1)
- 2024-08-04: Parma 4-1 Atalanta (INT CF)
League standings
- Atalanta: 12th, 11 points from 9 matches (3W 2D 4L, goals 16-17). At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 (11-8).
- Parma: 17th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L, goals 5-15). Away they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 4 (2-9).
Team news
- Atalanta injuries: Raoul Bellanova, Franck Kessie, Gianluca Scamacca, Giacomo Raspadori, Sead Kolasinac, Isak Hien
- Parma injuries: Nesta Elphege
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Atalanta vs Parma prediction
Reading the prices, this is Atalanta are clear favourites on the prices, at 64% against 20% for the draw and 16% for Parma. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 2-0 the single most likely scoreline (about 10%), with around 3.1 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Atalanta vs Parma kick off?
The match kicks off at 02:45 GMT+7 (19:45 UTC) on Tuesday 3 November 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Atalanta are the clear favourites, with a 64% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3 and the prices point to about 3.1 goals.
Where can I follow Atalanta vs Parma live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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