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Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Prediction, Tips & Odds - UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League · 06 Nov 2026BayArena
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Kick-off 03:00
Our tips for this match
FREE PICK
Under 1.5 goals · 1st half
1.73

Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille (UEFA Europa League). With the bookmaker margin taken out, the market gives Bayer Leverkusen a 53% chance, the draw 33% and Marseille 14% in the first half. The prices point to about 1.6 goals in total in the first half: 1.12 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.43 for Marseille. The pick is Under 1.5 (HT) at 0.73. The price model rates it 54% to win and graded tips of this kind at this price have won about 57% of the time, so we put it at 55% (pushes left out). This pick is calculated from market prices only: team news and line-ups are not included.

Match preview & analysis

Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille (UEFA Europa League). With the bookmaker margin taken out, the market gives Bayer Leverkusen a 53% chance, the draw 33% and Marseille 14% in the first half. The prices point to about 1.6 goals in total in the first half: 1.12 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.43 for Marseille. The pick is Under 1.5 (HT) at 0.73. The price model rates it 54% to win and graded tips of this kind at this price have won about 57% of the time, so we put it at 55% (pushes left out). This pick is calculated from market prices only: team news and line-ups are not included.

Win probability
69% Bayer Leverkusen18% draw13% Marseille
Head to head last 10
Bayer Leverkusen1
Draw0
Marseille1

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: prediction and key facts

Bayer Leverkusen play Marseille in the UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC at BayArena.

With the bookmaker margin removed, the prices make Bayer Leverkusen the favourite: Bayer Leverkusen 69%, draw 18%, Marseille 13%.

In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, 0 were drawn and Marseille won 1, with an average of 4 goals a game.

Recent form, oldest to newest: Bayer Leverkusen W W L W L; Marseille L W L W W.

Our free tip: Under 1.5 goals · 1st half at 1.73. Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille (UEFA Europa League). With the bookmaker margin taken out, the market gives Bayer Leverkusen a 53% chance, the draw 33% and Marseille 14% in the first half. The prices point to about 1.6 goals in total in the first half: 1.12 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.43 for Marseille. The pick is Under 1.5 (HT) at 0.73. The price model rates it 54% to win and graded tips of this kind at this price have won about 57% of the time, so we put it at 55% (pushes left out). This pick is calculated from market prices only: team news and line-ups are not included.

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

From the bookmaker prices with the margin removed: Bayer Leverkusen 69%, draw 18%, Marseille 13%. Our free tip for this match is Under 1.5 goals · 1st half at 1.73. A prediction is a probability, not a certainty.

When does Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kick off?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kicks off on 5 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC at BayArena.

What is the head to head record of Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, 0 were drawn and Marseille won 1, with an average of 4 goals a game. The latest meeting was Marseille 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen.

Predictions are probabilities, not promises. 18+ · Responsible gambling
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