Italy Serie A: Frosinone v Lecce, Friday 30 October at 00:30 GMT+7. We go through the prices, how both sides have been playing and how they have fared against each other.
Frosinone vs Lecce: match details
- Competition: Italy Serie A
- Date: Friday 30 October 2026
- Kick-off: 00:30 GMT+7 (17:30 UTC)
- Venue: Stadio Matusa
Key points
- Prices: Frosinone clear favourites at 59%, the draw at 20%.
- Goals: about 3.5 expected (line 3.5); most likely score 2-1.
- Form (last 6): Frosinone DWLWWD, Lecce LWLLWL.
- Head to head (10): Frosinone 0, draws 5, Lecce 5.
Odds and what they imply
On the 1X2 market Frosinone are 1.65, the draw is 4.10 and Lecce are 5.00. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 59% chance for Frosinone, 20% for the draw and 21% for Lecce.
On the Asian handicap, Frosinone are -0.75 at 1.83 and Lecce are +0.75 at 2.03. The line has moved from Frosinone -1 when the market opened to -0.75 now, so the market has grown less confident in Frosinone. The line gives Lecce a head start of 0.75 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Frosinone are.
The goals line is 3.5: Over 3.5 is 2.03 and Under 3.5 is 1.83. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.5 goals (Frosinone 2.22, Lecce 1.27), which makes Over 3.5 roughly a 46% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 1.65 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.10 |
| 1X2 | Lecce | 5.00 |
| Asian handicap | Frosinone -0.75 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | Lecce +0.75 | 2.03 |
| Over / Under 3.5 | Over 3.5 | 2.03 |
| Over / Under 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 1.83 |
Head to head
In 10 previous meetings on record, Frosinone won 0, Lecce won 5 and 5 matches ended level. On that record Lecce have the better of it. They averaged 2.4 goals per game, and 4 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2024-03-03, finished Frosinone 1-1 Lecce.
- 2024-03-03: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce (ITA D1)
- 2023-12-16: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone (ITA D1)
- 2022-04-02: Lecce 1-0 Frosinone (ITA D2)
- 2021-11-20: Frosinone 0-0 Lecce (ITA D2)
- 2021-03-20: Frosinone 0-3 Lecce (ITA D2)
Recent form
Frosinone
Over their last 6 matches Frosinone have taken 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game (D W L W W D, newest first).
- 2026-10-25: away v Atalanta 4-4 (D)
- 2026-10-16: home v Sassuolo 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10: away v Napoli 3-0 (L)
- 2026-10-02: home v Benevento 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20: home v Como 2-0 (W)
Lecce
Over their last 6 matches Lecce have taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats, with 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game (L W L L W L, newest first).
- 2026-10-25: home v Juventus 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18: away v Udinese 0-3 (W)
- 2026-10-11: home v Bologna 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20: away v AC Milan 3-0 (L)
- 2026-09-13: home v Monza 3-2 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.4 goals per game, below the over/under line of 3.5.
League standings
- Frosinone: 7th, 14 points from 8 matches (4W 2D 2L, goals 17-13). At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from 4 (9-5).
- Lecce: 12th, 9 points from 8 matches (3W 0D 5L, goals 9-14). Away they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 4 (5-4).
Team news
- Frosinone injuries: Florian Grillitsch
- Lecce injuries: Medon Berisha, Santiago Pierotti, Lassana Coulibaly, Ivan Ilic, Tiago Gabriel
- Lecce suspensions: Kialonda Gaspar
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Frosinone vs Lecce prediction
Reading the prices, this is Frosinone are clear favourites on the prices, at 59% against 20% for the draw and 21% for Lecce. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 2-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 10%), with around 3.5 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Frosinone vs Lecce kick off?
The match kicks off at 00:30 GMT+7 (17:30 UTC) on Friday 30 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Frosinone are the clear favourites, with a 59% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3.5 and the prices point to about 3.5 goals.
Where can I follow Frosinone vs Lecce live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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