Fiorentina play Atalanta in Italy Serie A on Friday 30 October (02:45 GMT+7). Here are the odds, the recent form, the head-to-head record and what the bookmaker prices say about the result.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta: match details
- Competition: Italy Serie A
- Date: Friday 30 October 2026
- Kick-off: 02:45 GMT+7 (19:45 UTC)
- Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi
Key points
- Prices: Fiorentina slight favourites at 42%, the draw at 24%.
- Goals: about 3.1 expected (line 3); most likely score 1-1.
- Form (last 6): Fiorentina LLLDWW, Atalanta DLLWWL.
- Head to head (10): Fiorentina 4, draws 2, Atalanta 4.
Odds and what they imply
The bookmakers price a win for Fiorentina at 2.25, the draw at 3.60 and a win for Atalanta at 3.00. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 42% chance for Fiorentina, 24% for the draw and 34% for Atalanta.
On the Asian handicap, Fiorentina are -0.25 at 1.98 and Atalanta are +0.25 at 1.88. The line gives Atalanta a head start of 0.25 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Fiorentina are.
The goals line is 3: Over 3 is 1.98 and Under 3 is 1.88. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.1 goals (Fiorentina 1.65, Atalanta 1.45), which makes Over 3 roughly a 38% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 2.25 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.60 |
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 3.00 |
| Asian handicap | Fiorentina -0.25 | 1.98 |
| Asian handicap | Atalanta +0.25 | 1.88 |
| Over / Under 3 | Over 3 | 1.98 |
| Over / Under 3 | Under 3 | 1.88 |
Recent form
Fiorentina
Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches (L L L D W W, newest first), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 goals per game. Fiorentina have lost their last 3.
- 2026-10-25: away v Inter Milan 2-1 (L)
- 2026-10-18: home v Como 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10: away v Genoa 2-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20: home v Napoli 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-15: home v Pisa 3-0 (W)
Atalanta
Over their last 6 matches Atalanta have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded per game (D L L W W L, newest first). Atalanta have not won in their last 3.
- 2026-10-25: home v Frosinone 4-4 (D)
- 2026-10-22: away v AFC Ajax 2-0 (L)
- 2026-10-18: away v AC Milan 3-2 (L)
- 2026-10-15: home v Pafos FC 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-12: home v Venezia 3-1 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.8 goals per game, above the over/under line of 3.
Head to head
In 10 previous meetings on record, Fiorentina won 4, Atalanta won 4 and 2 matches ended level. On that record it is level. They averaged 2.9 goals per game, and 4 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-05-22, finished Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta.
- 2026-05-22: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta (ITA D1)
- 2025-11-30: Atalanta 2-0 Fiorentina (ITA D1)
- 2025-03-30: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta (ITA D1)
- 2024-09-15: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina (ITA D1)
- 2024-06-02: Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina (ITA D1)
League standings
- Fiorentina: 18th, 4 points from 8 matches (1W 1D 6L, goals 9-19). At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats from 4 (3-9).
- Atalanta: 11th, 10 points from 8 matches (3W 1D 4L, goals 14-15). Away they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 3 (3-7).
Team news
- Fiorentina injuries: Fabiano Parisi, Marin Pongracic, Arthur Atta, Luca Ranieri
- Atalanta injuries: Sead Kolasinac, Raoul Bellanova, Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Odilon Kossounou, Thomas Pompei
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction
The market sees Fiorentina are slight favourites on the prices, at 42% against 24% for the draw and 34% for Atalanta. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 11%), with around 3.1 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Fiorentina vs Atalanta kick off?
The match kicks off at 02:45 GMT+7 (19:45 UTC) on Friday 30 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Fiorentina are the slight favourites, with a 42% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3 and the prices point to about 3.1 goals.
Where can I follow Fiorentina vs Atalanta live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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