Italy Serie A: AC Milan v Bologna, Thursday 29 October at 00:30 GMT+7. We go through the prices, how both sides have been playing and how they have fared against each other.
AC Milan vs Bologna: match details
- Competition: Italy Serie A
- Date: Thursday 29 October 2026
- Kick-off: 00:30 GMT+7 (17:30 UTC)
- Venue: San Siro
Key points
- Prices: AC Milan clear favourites at 57%, the draw at 23%.
- Goals: about 2.7 expected (line 2.5); most likely score 1-0.
- Form (last 6): AC Milan WLWWDW, Bologna WLWDLD.
- Head to head (10): AC Milan 5, draws 3, Bologna 2.
Odds and what they imply
On the 1X2 market AC Milan are 1.70, the draw is 3.80 and Bologna are 5.00. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 57% chance for AC Milan, 23% for the draw and 20% for Bologna.
On the Asian handicap, AC Milan are -0.75 at 1.90 and Bologna are +0.75 at 1.95. The line gives Bologna a head start of 0.75 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks AC Milan are.
The goals line is 2.5: Over 2.5 is 1.80 and Under 2.5 is 2.00. Together with the other prices that points to about 2.7 goals (AC Milan 1.80, Bologna 0.95), which makes Over 2.5 roughly a 52% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Milan | 1.70 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.80 |
| 1X2 | Bologna | 5.00 |
| Asian handicap | AC Milan -0.75 | 1.90 |
| Asian handicap | Bologna +0.75 | 1.95 |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1.80 |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 2.00 |
Recent form
AC Milan
AC Milan's last 6 results read W L W W D W from the newest back: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, and 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
- 2026-10-25: away v Udinese 0-2 (W)
- 2026-10-22: away v AFC Bournemouth 3-0 (L)
- 2026-10-18: home v Atalanta 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-15: away v Red Bull Salzburg 0-4 (W)
- 2026-10-11: away v Sassuolo 1-1 (D)
Bologna
Bologna's last 6 results read W L W D L D from the newest back: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
- 2026-10-24: away v Cagliari 0-2 (W)
- 2026-10-17: home v Inter Milan 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11: away v Lecce 1-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19: home v Torino 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13: away v Napoli 1-0 (L)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 2.9 goals per game, above the over/under line of 2.5.
Head to head
In 10 previous meetings on record, AC Milan won 5, Bologna won 2 and 3 matches ended level. On that record AC Milan have the better of it. They averaged 2.2 goals per game, and 4 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-02-03, finished Bologna 0-3 AC Milan.
- 2026-02-03: Bologna 0-3 AC Milan (ITA D1)
- 2025-09-14: AC Milan 1-0 Bologna (ITA D1)
- 2025-05-14: Bologna 1-0 AC Milan (ITA Cup)
- 2025-05-09: AC Milan 3-1 Bologna (ITA D1)
- 2025-02-27: Bologna 2-1 AC Milan (ITA D1)
League standings
- AC Milan: 4th, 18 points from 8 matches (5W 3D 0L, goals 16-7). At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 3 (8-2).
- Bologna: 13th, 8 points from 8 matches (2W 2D 4L, goals 8-10). Away they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 4 (4-3).
Team news
- AC Milan injuries: Adrien Rabiot, Samuel Chimerenka Chukwueze, Mario Gila, Diego Moreira, Matteo Gabbia, Alexis Saelemaekers
- Bologna injuries: Riccardo Orsolini, Roberto Piccoli, Emil Holm
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
AC Milan vs Bologna prediction
The market sees AC Milan are clear favourites on the prices, at 57% against 23% for the draw and 20% for Bologna. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-0 the single most likely scoreline (about 12%), with around 2.7 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does AC Milan vs Bologna kick off?
The match kicks off at 00:30 GMT+7 (17:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
AC Milan are the clear favourites, with a 57% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 2.5 and the prices point to about 2.7 goals.
Where can I follow AC Milan vs Bologna live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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