A look at Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista (SP) (Brazil Serie A, 5 November): the odds and what they imply, the form of both teams, their meetings so far and our prediction.
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista (SP): match details
- Competition: Brazil Serie A
- Date: Thursday 5 November 2026
- Kick-off: 07:30 GMT+7 (00:30 UTC)
- Venue: Estadio do Morumbi
- Weather: Sunny, 28℃～29℃
Key points
- Prices: an even match on the 1X2 prices, the draw at 30%.
- Goals: about 2.2 expected (line 2); most likely score 1-1.
- Form (last 6): Sao Paulo LDWWLL, Corinthians Paulista (SP) WLDLLL.
- Head to head (10): Sao Paulo 6, draws 2, Corinthians Paulista (SP) 2.
Odds and what they imply
On the 1X2 market Sao Paulo are 2.75, the draw is 3.00 and Corinthians Paulista (SP) are 2.80. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 37% chance for Sao Paulo, 30% for the draw and 34% for Corinthians Paulista (SP).
On the Asian handicap, Sao Paulo are 0 at 1.85 and Corinthians Paulista (SP) are 0 at 2.00. The line has moved from Sao Paulo -0.25 when the market opened to 0 now, so the market has grown less confident in Sao Paulo. A level line means the market cannot separate the two sides on the handicap.
The goals line is 2: Over 2 is 1.90 and Under 2 is 1.95. Together with the other prices that points to about 2.2 goals (Sao Paulo 1.10, Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1.05), which makes Over 2 roughly a 36% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sao Paulo | 2.75 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.00 |
| 1X2 | Corinthians Paulista (SP) | 2.80 |
| Asian handicap | Sao Paulo 0 | 1.85 |
| Asian handicap | Corinthians Paulista (SP) 0 | 2.00 |
| Over / Under 2 | Over 2 | 1.90 |
| Over / Under 2 | Under 2 | 1.95 |
Head to head
In 10 previous meetings on record, Sao Paulo won 6, Corinthians Paulista (SP) won 2 and 2 matches ended level. On that record Sao Paulo have the better of it. They averaged 3.3 goals per game, and 7 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-05-10, finished Corinthians Paulista (SP) 3-2 Sao Paulo.
- 2026-05-10: Corinthians Paulista (SP) 3-2 Sao Paulo (BRA D1)
- 2026-01-18: Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1-1 Sao Paulo (BRA SP)
- 2025-11-20: Corinthians Paulista (SP) 3-1 Sao Paulo (BRA D1)
- 2025-07-20: Sao Paulo 2-0 Corinthians Paulista (SP) (BRA D1)
- 2025-01-26: Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) (BRA SP)
Recent form
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo's last 6 results read L D W W L L from the newest back: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, and 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
- 2026-10-29: away v Bahia 3-2 (L)
- 2026-10-24: away v Mirassol 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18: home v Vasco da Gama 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11: home v Vitoria BA 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-08: away v Cruzeiro 2-0 (L)
Corinthians Paulista (SP)
Over their last 6 matches Corinthians Paulista (SP) have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats, with 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded per game (W L D L L L, newest first).
- 2026-10-30: home v Mirassol 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-24: away v Vasco da Gama 3-2 (L)
- 2026-10-19: home v Vitoria BA 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11: away v Palmeiras 4-1 (L)
- 2026-10-07: away v Internacional RS 2-1 (L)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.1 goals per game, above the over/under line of 2.
League standings
- Sao Paulo: 10th, 43 points from 33 matches (12W 7D 14L, goals 39-39). At home they have 10 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 16 (25-13).
- Corinthians Paulista (SP): 18th, 36 points from 33 matches (9W 9D 15L, goals 36-42). Away they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats from 16 (18-25).
Team news
- Sao Paulo injuries: Domingos Duarte, Aurelio Buta, Artur Victor Guimaraes, Marcos Antonio Silva San, Nicolas Bosshardt
- Sao Paulo suspensions: Jose Sabino Chagas Monteiro
- Corinthians Paulista (SP) injuries: Zakaria Labyad, Gabriel Armando de Abreu, Memphis Depay, Alex Santana, Raniele Almeida Melo, Ferrari Guimares Kayke
- Corinthians Paulista (SP) suspensions: Matheus Franca Silva, Matheuzinho
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista (SP) prediction
The market sees a very even match: neither side is clearly ahead, and the draw is priced at 30%. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 13%), with around 2.2 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista (SP) kick off?
The match kicks off at 07:30 GMT+7 (00:30 UTC) on Thursday 5 November 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Neither side: the prices make this an even match.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 2 and the prices point to about 2.2 goals.
Where can I follow Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Paulista (SP) live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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