Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6 Nov)

4 Nov 2026 · Match Previews
Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6 Nov)

Real Sociedad play Lyon in UEFA Europa League on Friday 6 November (00:45 GMT+7). Here are the odds, the recent form, the head-to-head record and what the bookmaker prices say about the result.

Real Sociedad vs Lyon: match details

  • Competition: UEFA Europa League
  • Date: Friday 6 November 2026
  • Kick-off: 00:45 GMT+7 (17:45 UTC)
  • Venue: Anoeta

Key points

  • Prices: Real Sociedad clear favourites at 57%, the draw at 21%.
  • Goals: about 3.2 expected (line 3); most likely score 2-1.
  • Form (last 6): Real Sociedad LWWWDW, Lyon WLLWWL.
  • Head to head (5): Real Sociedad 2, draws 1, Lyon 2.

Odds and what they imply

The bookmakers price a win for Real Sociedad at 1.70, the draw at 4.00 and a win for Lyon at 4.75. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 57% chance for Real Sociedad, 21% for the draw and 22% for Lyon.

On the Asian handicap, Real Sociedad are -0.75 at 1.88 and Lyon are +0.75 at 1.98. The line gives Lyon a head start of 0.75 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Real Sociedad are.

The goals line is 3: Over 3 is 1.88 and Under 3 is 1.98. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.2 goals (Real Sociedad 2.02, Lyon 1.17), which makes Over 3 roughly a 40% chance.

MarketSelectionDecimal odds
1X2Real Sociedad1.70
1X2Draw4.00
1X2Lyon4.75
Asian handicapReal Sociedad -0.751.88
Asian handicapLyon +0.751.98
Over / Under 3Over 31.88
Over / Under 3Under 31.98

Head to head

In 5 previous meetings on record, Real Sociedad won 2, Lyon won 2 and 1 match ended level. On that record it is level. They averaged 1.6 goals per game, and 0 of the 5 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2013-08-28, finished Real Sociedad 2-0 Lyon.

  • 2013-08-28: Real Sociedad 2-0 Lyon (UEFA CL)
  • 2013-08-20: Lyon 0-2 Real Sociedad (UEFA CL)
  • 2012-07-20: Lyon 1-1 Real Sociedad (INT CF)
  • 2004-03-09: Lyon 1-0 Real Sociedad (UEFA CL)
  • 2004-02-25: Real Sociedad 0-1 Lyon (UEFA CL)

Recent form

Real Sociedad

Over their last 6 matches Real Sociedad have taken 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game (L W W W D W, newest first).

  • 2026-11-01: away v Athletic Bilbao 2-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-25: home v Levante 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-22: away v Lillestrom 0-6 (W)
  • 2026-10-18: away v Malaga 2-5 (W)
  • 2026-10-15: away v Saint Gilloise 1-1 (D)

Lyon

Over their last 6 matches Lyon have taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game (W L L W W L, newest first).

  • 2026-11-01: home v Angers 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-26: away v Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2-0 (L)
  • 2026-10-22: away v TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 (L)
  • 2026-10-18: home v Nice 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-15: home v Crystal Palace 3-2 (W)

Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.7 goals per game, above the over/under line of 3.

League standings

  • Real Sociedad: 5th, 19 points from 11 matches (6W 1D 4L, goals 20-20). At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 (7-7).
  • Lyon: 3rd, 17 points from 9 matches (5W 2D 2L, goals 15-7). Away they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats from 4 (3-4).

Group table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Benfica330010-29
2Bayer Leverkusen33008-09
3AFC Bournemouth33008-19
4Ferencvarosi TC33009-39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33004-19
6Saint Gilloise32108-17
7Juventus32109-37
8Besiktas JK32109-57
9Sunderland A.F.C32104-27
10AZ Alkmaar32016-26
11Omonia Nicosia FC32015-46
12Lyon32015-66
13Rennes31204-35
14Real Sociedad31118-34
15Crystal Palace31118-54
16AC Sparta Prague31115-34
17Levski Sofia31113-34
18Dinamo Zagreb31113-44
19Sturm Graz31111-34
20NEC Nijmegen31115-84
21Red Bull Salzburg31113-64
22Anderlecht31024-33
23TSG Hoffenheim31025-53
24AC Milan31024-53
25Celta Vigo31023-43
26OFI Crete31023-43
27Jagiellonia Bialystok31024-63
28SCU Torreense31024-73
29NK Publikum Celje30122-71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30121-61
31Lillestrom30122-91
32Lech Poznan30121-91
33FC Viktoria Plzen30032-70
34Marseille30031-60
35Celtic FC30033-90
36FC Ararat Armenia30032-110

Team news

  • Real Sociedad injuries: Luken Beitia, Arsen Zakharyan, Alvaro Odriozola Arzallus
  • Lyon injuries: Nicolas Tagliafico, Tyler Morton, Mohamed Ouedraogo, Lois Openda, Pavel Sulc

Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.

Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction

The market sees Real Sociedad are clear favourites on the prices, at 57% against 21% for the draw and 22% for Lyon. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 2-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 10%), with around 3.2 goals expected in total.

This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.

Frequently asked questions

What time does Real Sociedad vs Lyon kick off?

The match kicks off at 00:45 GMT+7 (17:45 UTC) on Friday 6 November 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.

Who is the favourite?

Real Sociedad are the clear favourites, with a 57% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.

How many goals are expected?

The over/under line is 3 and the prices point to about 3.2 goals.

Where can I follow Real Sociedad vs Lyon live?

The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.

More: today's football tips and live scores.

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