Gremio (RS) play Atletico Paranaense in Brazil Serie A on Friday 30 October (07:30 GMT+7). Here are the odds, the recent form, the head-to-head record and what the bookmaker prices say about the result.
Gremio (RS) vs Atletico Paranaense: match details
- Competition: Brazil Serie A
- Date: Friday 30 October 2026
- Kick-off: 07:30 GMT+7 (00:30 UTC)
- Venue: Estadio Olimpico Monumental
- Weather: Sunny, 21℃～22℃
Key points
- Prices: Gremio (RS) slight favourites at 42%, the draw at 26%.
- Goals: about 2.6 expected (line 2.5); most likely score 1-1.
- Form (last 6): Gremio (RS) WLDDDL, Atletico Paranaense DLWDWD.
- Head to head (10): Gremio (RS) 5, draws 1, Atletico Paranaense 4.
Odds and what they imply
The bookmakers price a win for Gremio (RS) at 2.25, the draw at 3.40 and a win for Atletico Paranaense at 3.10. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 42% chance for Gremio (RS), 26% for the draw and 32% for Atletico Paranaense.
On the Asian handicap, Gremio (RS) are -0.25 at 2.00 and Atletico Paranaense are +0.25 at 1.85. The line gives Atletico Paranaense a head start of 0.25 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Gremio (RS) are.
The goals line is 2.5: Over 2.5 is 1.90 and Under 2.5 is 1.95. Together with the other prices that points to about 2.6 goals (Gremio (RS) 1.42, Atletico Paranaense 1.23), which makes Over 2.5 roughly a 49% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gremio (RS) | 2.25 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.40 |
| 1X2 | Atletico Paranaense | 3.10 |
| Asian handicap | Gremio (RS) -0.25 | 2.00 |
| Asian handicap | Atletico Paranaense +0.25 | 1.85 |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1.90 |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1.95 |
Recent form
Gremio (RS)
Gremio (RS)'s last 6 results read W L D D D L from the newest back: 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats, and 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
- 2026-10-26: away v Coritiba PR 0-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18: home v Cruzeiro 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11: home v Internacional RS 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-07: away v Remo Belem (PA) 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20: home v Palmeiras 0-0 (D)
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (D L W D W D, newest first), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 goals per game.
- 2026-10-24: away v Vitoria BA 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17: home v Palmeiras 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-12: away v Chapecoense SC 1-4 (W)
- 2026-10-08: home v Atletico Mineiro 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20: home v Bahia 2-1 (W)
Put together, the recent matches of the two sides averaged 3.2 goals per game, above the over/under line of 2.5.
Head to head
Their record against each other covers 10 matches: Gremio (RS) won 5, Atletico Paranaense won 4 and 1 match ended level. On that record Gremio (RS) have the better of it. They averaged 2.3 goals per game, and 4 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-05-02, finished Atletico Paranaense 0-0 Gremio (RS).
- 2026-05-02: Atletico Paranaense 0-0 Gremio (RS) (BRA D1)
- 2024-08-04: Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Gremio (RS) (BRA D1)
- 2024-04-17: Gremio (RS) 2-0 Atletico Paranaense (BRA D1)
- 2023-10-18: Gremio (RS) 1-2 Atletico Paranaense (BRA D1)
- 2023-05-27: Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Gremio (RS) (BRA D1)
League standings
- Gremio (RS): 17th, 34 points from 32 matches (8W 10D 14L, goals 35-44). At home they have 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 16 (25-21).
- Atletico Paranaense: 4th, 54 points from 32 matches (15W 9D 8L, goals 50-38). Away they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 16 (23-23).
Team news
- Gremio (RS) injuries: Danilo Barbosa da Silva, Jovane Cabral, Juan Ignacio Martin Nardoni, Roger
- Atletico Paranaense injuries: Gaston Americo Benavidez, Kerwin Vargas, Dantas, Claudio, Arthur Dias
- Atletico Paranaense suspensions: Jadson Alves dos Santos, Gilberto Moraes Junior
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Gremio (RS) vs Atletico Paranaense prediction
The market sees Gremio (RS) are slight favourites on the prices, at 42% against 26% for the draw and 32% for Atletico Paranaense. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-1 the single most likely scoreline (about 12%), with around 2.6 goals expected in total.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Gremio (RS) vs Atletico Paranaense kick off?
The match kicks off at 07:30 GMT+7 (00:30 UTC) on Friday 30 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Gremio (RS) are the slight favourites, with a 42% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 2.5 and the prices point to about 2.6 goals.
Where can I follow Gremio (RS) vs Atletico Paranaense live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
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