Aston Villa play Manchester City in English Premier League on Saturday 24 October (18:30 GMT+7). Here are the odds, the recent form, the head-to-head record and what the bookmaker prices say about the result.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City: match details
- Competition: English Premier League
- Date: Saturday 24 October 2026
- Kick-off: 18:30 GMT+7 (11:30 UTC)
- Venue: Villa Park
- Weather: Cloudy, 11℃～12℃
Odds and what they imply
The bookmakers price a win for Aston Villa at 5.00, the draw at 4.50 and a win for Manchester City at 1.57. With the bookmaker margin taken out, those prices imply a 20% chance for Aston Villa, 20% for the draw and 60% for Manchester City.
On the Asian handicap, Aston Villa are +0.75 at 2.05 and Manchester City are -0.75 at 1.80. The line gives Aston Villa a head start of 0.75 goals: the bigger the head start, the stronger the market thinks Manchester City are.
The goals line is 3.25: Over 3.25 is 1.90 and Under 3.25 is 1.95. Together with the other prices that points to about 3.4 goals (Aston Villa 1.20, Manchester City 2.20), which makes Over 3.25 roughly a 44% chance.
| Market | Selection | Decimal odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 5.00 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.50 |
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | Aston Villa +0.75 | 2.05 |
| Asian handicap | Manchester City -0.75 | 1.80 |
| Over / Under 3.25 | Over 3.25 | 1.90 |
| Over / Under 3.25 | Under 3.25 | 1.95 |
Recent form
Aston Villa
Aston Villa have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 matches (W W W D W W, newest first), scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.0 goals per game.
- 2026-10-21: home v Viking 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17: away v Newcastle United 0-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14: home v Fenerbahce 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10: home v Brentford 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02: away v Sevilla 1-3 (W)
Manchester City
Manchester City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (W W L W W W, newest first), scoring 3.8 and conceding 1.7 goals per game.
- 2026-10-20: home v AEK Athens 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17: home v Ipswich Town 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-14: home v Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11: away v Liverpool 0-3 (W)
- 2026-09-20: home v Sunderland A.F.C 5-3 (W)
Head to head
Aston Villa and Manchester City have met 10 times in the matches we have on record: Aston Villa won 4, Manchester City won 5 and 1 match ended level. They averaged 3.0 goals per game, and 7 of the 10 had three goals or more. The most recent meeting, on 2026-05-24, finished Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa.
- 2026-05-24: Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa (ENG PR)
- 2025-10-26: Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City (ENG PR)
- 2025-04-22: Manchester City 2-1 Aston Villa (ENG PR)
- 2024-12-21: Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City (ENG PR)
- 2024-04-03: Manchester City 4-1 Aston Villa (ENG PR)
League standings
- Aston Villa: 12th, 8 points from 7 matches (2W 2D 3L, goals 7-11). At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from 3 (3-5).
- Manchester City: 1st, 21 points from 7 matches (7W 0D 0L, goals 19-7). Away they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 3 (8-1).
Team news
- Aston Villa injuries: Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Ian Maatsen, Matteo Ruggeri, Amadou Onana, George Hemmings, Johan Manzambi
- Manchester City injuries: Antoine Semenyo, Josko Gvardiol, Nico OReilly, Mateo Kovacic, Matheus Luiz Nunes
Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place a bet.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction
The market sees Manchester City are clear favourites on the prices, at 60% against 20% for the draw and 20% for Aston Villa. The goal model fitted to the prices makes 1-2 the single most likely scoreline (about 10%), with around 3.4 goals expected in total.
There is also a VIP tip for this match, with the pick and price shown to members. See the VIP plans.
This prediction is calculated from market prices only. It does not include team news or line-ups, and a probability is not a promise: the less likely result still happens regularly.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Aston Villa vs Manchester City kick off?
The match kicks off at 18:30 GMT+7 (11:30 UTC) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Times on the site follow the time zone you pick in the header.
Who is the favourite?
Manchester City are the clear favourites, with a 60% chance on the de-margined 1X2 prices.
How many goals are expected?
The over/under line is 3.25 and the prices point to about 3.4 goals.
Where can I follow Aston Villa vs Manchester City live?
The match page shows the live score, events, statistics, odds comparison and line-ups as they come in.
More: today's football tips and live scores.
18+ only. Betting can be addictive: never stake money you cannot afford to lose. Read our responsible gambling page.